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What are the odds that I'm a Father?

killerman

Cro-Magnon Man
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So I've had sex with quite a few women over the last 8 years or so. It's approaching something like 50. Anyway I haven't always been responsible and I've ejaculated inside these women quite a few times. Sometimes they said they were on the pill but most of the time I don't think they were. I can think of about 10 chicks that I've blown my cum inside. Most of those girls I never saw again. But some I fucked over and over again, multiple times, every time with no condom on, just blasted my cum inside them. Which makes me think, what are the odds that I am a Father? Would be interesting to hear your thoughts.
 

Teevster

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What makes you think that? I don't think a girl would lie about being on the pill, JMO.

Not unless she likes you a lot or is 27+ and really wants a kiddo.

-Teevster
 

Teevster

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Have you considered testing yourself for STIs too while you are at it?

-Teevster
 

Train

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There's too many unknown, unquantifiable factors to do a proper, refined estimate like each girl's ovulation time, if they were on pill or not, number of encounters with each girl, their age, their fertility. But you could do a worst-case scenario assessment making general assumptions that may or may not be appropriate.

What are the chances?
Having sex as close as possible to the time of ovulation increases the chance of pregnancy.

If a woman has sex six or more days before she ovulates, the chance she will get pregnant is virtually zero.

If she has sex five days before she ovulates, her probability of pregnancy is about 10 percent.

If she has sex on the day of ovulation, or the two days before, the chance of getting pregnant is around 30 percent.

These are average figures and depend on a woman’s age.
Source

To give you a rough idea of what's possible. But any estimate you calculate with more assumed data would be wishy-washy in my opinion.


This post reminds me of a killer that want to be caught to be famous.......
Maybe it's like Schrodinger's cat, where the kids both exist and don't exist until he starts looking for them
 

StrayDog

Modern Human
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only way to really settle this is to pull a Broken Flowers style mission, and visit all your past lovers. Good luck...
 
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killerman

Cro-Magnon Man
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Have you considered testing yourself for STIs too while you are at it?

-Teevster
Not for 6 months. Need to get a test ASAP. That's another thing I need to do, to stop fucking girls bareback, got a girl coming over friday and I'll make sure im using condoms, starting from now.
 

Teevster

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Not for 6 months. Need to get a test ASAP. That's another thing I need to do, to stop fucking girls bareback, got a girl coming over friday and I'll make sure im using condoms, starting from now.

Go to an STI clinic and just do the full package. Most likely you have nothing (to worry about) but good to clear your head.

Also get the Hep B jab (go for the Twinrix so that you are covered for Hep A as well) while you are at it. Optionally get the HPV jab too (the Gardasil) - although this is optional. The Hep B jab is "not" if you plan to screw around.

-Teevster
 

killerman

Cro-Magnon Man
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Go to an STI clinic and just do the full package. Most likely you have nothing (to worry about) but good to clear your head.

Also get the Hep B jab (go for the Twinrix so that you are covered for Hep A as well) while you are at it. Optionally get the HPV jab too (the Gardasil) - although this is optional. The Hep B jab is "not" if you plan to screw around.

-Teevster
Ok thanks, will do
 

Teevster

Tribal Elder
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Ok thanks, will do

You may also bring up the pregnancy question to the nurse/doctor, they have good info on this in such specialized sexual clinics.

-Teevster
 
the right date makes getting her back home a piece of cake

Chase

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Might be time to change handles to "killerman Sr." ;)

On a more serious note -- hard to say exactly.

Re: ONS girls, it seems like it's a little harder to knock a girl up the first night, even if she's ovulating, than it is if she's a repeat partner. Although I wouldn't put down money on it. The thing with ONS is girls are a lot less likely to want to keep that kid if you do knock them up and you're some random guy they know nothing about. There's always the chance they have some FWB they can trap with the baby... I have seen that happen... but fairly good odds they abort or miscarry due to stress if it's an ONS baby.

Re: girls you were seeing on repeat, if you get those girls pregnant, you are typically gonna hear about it.

Things were a bit different a few centuries ago when Casanova had his love children he didn't find out about until years and years later. He was constantly bouncing around between different cities, and there was no reliable way to stay in touch -- women didn't know where he was and had no way to message him. Now even if you're bouncing around a bit, if she has your contact info she can still hit you up with, "Hey, @killerman -- I'm pregnant and it's yours!"

So, I wouldn't rule it totally out.

But for ONS, it seems harder to impregnate those girls, and they're probably a lot less likely to keep it even if you do.

For FWBs/girlfriends, you're probably going to hear about it if you knock them up.

There are always extenuating circumstances, of course... you are the sexy "good genes" lover, but she also has a stable provider lover, and you put your baby in her, but she tells him it's his (and maybe lies to herself it's his too), then cuts you off without telling you, as she proceeds to lock those resources of his down... Or you knock up the ONS girl who just really wants a baby, or has a family that'll support her, or some guy she can pin it on, or even some white knight guy who will take care of her even knowing she's pregnant with a baby that isn't his.

Those things happen. But they're rarer.

So... better odds you're not a dad than that you are?

Chase
 
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